Had a very interesting discussion on the lessons for India from the Ukraine War so far.
‘Sir, will China invade us?’ ‘We hear China has increased activities on the border’. Chinese consolidation activities on the LAC have prompted such reactions and fears. Lot of such inquiries from citizens within and outside India. Why? Bodies floating down Ganga, mass graves, lack of oxygen, medicines or hospital beds, botched vaccination program, uninterrupted work on Central Vista - all these have eroded our political capital immensely and seeded such doubts. Our national institutions are being compared to ‘rottweilers’ in the media. Economy? Unemployment figures and stock markets – both rattling up. Strangest combination. Rich getting richer and poor getting poorer. An ominous divergence which bodes ill. Leadership? Kis Chidiya ka naam hai bhai? National level paralysis in responding to the second wave. Erosion in comprehensive national power. Many have never experienced India being so weak. Nor did I for that matter. This frightening experience ...
My question is why did Putin attack Ukraine and cause extensive damage to Civilian targets ?
ReplyDeleteRussia could have launched a covert operation to dislodge the Ukraine regime and plave a puppet president there. And Russia's capability to interfere in internal affairs other Countries covertly is well known.
It's hard to guess Russias objectives but I don't think grabbing Zelensky was a priority. Time will tell but, I think they will try and absorb the eastern zone with minimum damage, perhaps up to the banks of the Dnieper, and leave the western area as a neutral buffer zone. This would be close to restoring the pre-Ukraine status-quo. They probably can take Kiev if they use maximum firepower but it looks like they have held back so far.
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