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UPDATE ON UKRAINE : A DISCUSSION

A discussion with Aadi Achint on the latest situation in Ukraine including the US military aid package and its implications.  

 

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  1. I think India needs to stay out of this unless both sides ask. Maybe Russia will just consolidate its gains with the most productive areas under its control and use rest of UKR as practice/proving ground via a low intensity conflict for its new weaponry and fresh troops. This will also bleed Europe & US as they will need to compensate UKR disproportionately with economic and military aid to keep it alive as well as supporting the millions of refugees. Interesting, though sad, times ahead for sure.

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    1. It wouldn't be surprising if the US & EU use pre-occupation with UKR and commitment to providing arms & aid to it as an excuse to back-away from Taiwan if the CCP comes a visiting this year.

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