Had a live discussion with Mr Sree Iyer on the current state of affairs in Pakistan. The discussion was based largely on my article Wolf at Pakistan's Door. The Q&A session was very interesting.
The Pakistani FM to BBC: War would be suicidal. Pakistan has already started negotiating with a gun to its head! Welcome home Wing Commander Abhinanadan. Well done. You flew into the Valley of Death and survived. India is proud. Sincere condolences to Air Marshal Waseem Ud Din on the loss of his son Shahaz Ud Din under most unfortunate circumstances. He was incredibly brave to continue his mission when others had turned around. Paradigm Emerged A lot has happened since Balakot. Some in focus some out. Some hyped. Some diffused. Time to sum up the situation and see where things are heading. Militarily it is called Review of the Situation. I will do it journalistically so that the intellectual western media understands it. They might or not buy our story. Incidentally it is not a story. It is not for sale. This is real live action. Nuclear exchange receding. Not ruled out. A fundamental paradigm has emerged. India’s fight is against terror. The D
I think Pakistan will focus on one thing to get its economy out of bankruptcy. It will export workers. On a per capita basis, Pakistan already has among the highest rates in the world of sending abroad laborers. The key for Pakistan is then to find places that will receive the workers. The answer is obviously GCC countries where it will find vacancies for Pakistani workers at the expense of Indian workers. There are 8.5 million Indians living and working in GCC countries. If half of the Indians in GCC countries do not get their visas renewed then 4 million Pakistanis will be able to move to the GCC and send back remittances to save the Pakistani economy.
ReplyDeleteFor Pakistan to pull this off they will need to switch gears in international messaging. Instead of talking about human rights abuses in the Kashmir Valley to Arab countries who don't care because Kashmiris are not Arabs, Pakistan will move on to making loud noises about the BJP and Indian government blasphemizing against Islam and the Prophet Muhammad. Nupur Sharma will still be around so it will not be hard to pin blasphemy on Modi and India. The Western media is also giving the Pakistanis fire support.
Thats a great analysis!
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